It's close enough still though that it's easy to go either way, especially since all these maps and predictions are based off known unreliable random polling. Clicking "This day in the 2004 cycle" on that site shows Kerry winning. 2000 should have taught us that the election isn't over even hours after people have voted. Though 2000 should have also taught us major reform in the process was needed since basically the Supreme Court decided who won, and not the electoral college or voters.