I figure that there is probably a 50 percent chance that you are right. My "bus and black ice" argument may not fly, but on the other hand I think that the argument that "it would mean a total meltdown" for McCain campaign may not hold if they have a meltdown anyway.

The Republican loyalists interviewed by CNN certainly put on a shiny, hapy face over this, but I have to think there are some delegates in Minneapolis still wondering what the heck McCain was thinking.

Aside from the near-complete lack of experience, I think it is the trailer-trash aspects of this drama -- hubby DUI, teen pregnancy -- that amaze me. I have this feeling that *one* more unvetted trailer park revelation will do Palin in. But I am probably a snob and maybe put more weight on those factors than the republican base. New Reality Show? Blair House Granny?

Yes, strange that McCain neuters his own "experience" tactic.