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#244478 - 21/12/2004 22:23 looking back on future predictions
DWallach
carpal tunnel

Registered: 30/04/2000
Posts: 3810
Just for grins, I was looking at the slides of a talk I did ten and a half years ago (March 1994) about this new thing called the world wide web. Pretty much everything on my "future of the web" slide came into practice pretty quickly, with the possible exception of a general-purpose proxy architecture to keep sites from getting slow. Some of the p2p crowd are working on things like this now, of course, but there's still nothing in general use.

Remember when Adam Curry's MTV.COM was the coolest thing around?

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#244479 - 21/12/2004 22:36 Re: looking back on future predictions [Re: DWallach]
Dylan
addict

Registered: 23/09/2000
Posts: 498
Loc: Virginia, USA
Quote:
Of course, we may be stuck with HTML for a long time to come.


Such presience!

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#244480 - 22/12/2004 00:58 Re: looking back on future predictions [Re: Dylan]
DWallach
carpal tunnel

Registered: 30/04/2000
Posts: 3810
It's interesting to think about all the things that I probably should have predicted but didn't.

- Chat boards like this one

- Slashdot, blogging, and the notion of flash crowds

- Java, Flash, and the scourge of annoying web advertisements

- HTML everywhere, and XML taking over the world

- Web interfaces replacing custom front-end apps for client-server computing (or, the web browser as the modern incarnation of an IBM 3270)

- Search engines as the most important application on the web

Any other big things I missed?

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#244481 - 22/12/2004 07:42 Re: looking back on future predictions [Re: DWallach]
Roger
carpal tunnel

Registered: 18/01/2000
Posts: 5683
Loc: London, UK
Quote:
with the possible exception of a general-purpose proxy architecture to keep sites from getting slow


Well, there's Akamai, and the other network-edge cache providers. They're not general purpose, though.
_________________________
-- roger

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#244482 - 22/12/2004 07:43 Re: looking back on future predictions [Re: DWallach]
boxer
pooh-bah

Registered: 16/04/2002
Posts: 2011
Loc: Yorkshire UK
Spam and fraud?
_________________________
Politics and Ideology: Not my bag

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#244483 - 22/12/2004 10:33 Re: looking back on future predictions [Re: DWallach]
JeffS
carpal tunnel

Registered: 14/01/2002
Posts: 2858
Loc: Atlanta, GA
-mmorpgs

-p2p/iTunes

-internet phones (not widespread yet, but it's coming)
_________________________
-Jeff
Rome did not create a great empire by having meetings; they did it by killing all those who opposed them.

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